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Independent analysis of sports prediction markets — what's moving, what's mispriced, and what to watch next.

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Sports Apr 27, 2026 1 min read

Ballon d'Or Odds 2026: Harry Kane Leads at 40%, Olise Surges

Polymarket prices Harry Kane as the 2026 Ballon d'Or favorite at 40%, with Bayern teammate Michael Olise at 15.5%. Mbappé and Yamal trail. The World Cup is the wildcard.

NBA Awards 2025-26: How the Markets Called Most Improved Player and Sixth Man

Alexander-Walker won Most Improved Player at -1250 closing odds. Keldon Johnson took Sixth Man. How prediction markets nailed the calls — and what MVP odds say next.