Not investment advice
The Sharp Take publishes editorial analysis of prediction markets, polls, and public events. Nothing on this site is investment advice, financial advice, legal advice, or a recommendation to trade. Articles are written for general information only.
Prediction markets are speculative
Prediction-market contracts are speculative instruments. You can lose the full amount you put into any contract. Past accuracy of a market or platform does not guarantee future accuracy. Markets can move sharply on news, liquidity events, or coordinated trader action — sometimes for reasons that have nothing to do with the underlying probability of the event.
Jurisdictional notice
Polymarket is geofenced from US residents and is not legal at the retail level in the United States. The Sharp Take does not encourage US residents to access Polymarket. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US-legal alternative. Other jurisdictions have their own restrictions; trading may be illegal where you live.
No relationship with platforms
The Sharp Take is editorially independent. We are not affiliated with Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Metaculus, or any prediction-market operator. Where we participate in affiliate programs, we disclose that relationship.
Data accuracy
Market prices are continuously updated. Numbers in our articles reflect the time of writing and may be stale by the time you read them. Always check the live market page for current prices and resolution rules before acting.
Reader responsibility
You are responsible for your own decisions. If you trade prediction markets, trade only what you can afford to lose, and consider speaking with a qualified financial advisor in your jurisdiction.
Contact
Questions: hello@thesharptake.com.